Innov-agri – how digitalization is growing in the ag sector

INNOV-AGRI – HOW DIGITALIZATION IS GROWING IN THE AG SECTOR

Audrey Courant, Principal at DuckerFrontier, attended several conferences at the Innov-Agri Show in Toulouse on September 6, and will attend the German exhibition AgriTechnica on the week of November 13. Meeting innovative manufacturers and service providers feeds DuckerFrontier’s core business – to seek out and provide the industry’s best insights to our clients. Coupled with DuckerFrontier internal data and expertise in the agricultural sector, below are some key thoughts related to the digitalization of the sector.

It’s a fact, while the agricultural landscape is currently experiencing a generational change, it’s also – and partly consequently – becoming more and more connected. Whether related to product, technical or technological innovation, the market is bustling with new services and solutions to ease farmers’ jobs and increase their business performance. When looking at how products are changing, the agricultural market is seeing the emergence of new plant varieties that are resistant to disease and provide more productivity. Moreover, crop protection products and new fertilizers allow for a better environmental footprint, thanks to slow-release properties and limitation of nitrogen volatilization.

In addition, farmers are working on advanced crop techniques with new crop cultures, innovative crop rotations and row-spacing harmonization. All these techniques help improve soil quality and ultimately, crop yields.

However, the area experiencing the most innovation is technology. Indeed, the agriculture market is experiencing a rapid move toward digitalization with the increase in precision tool usage, the gathering and analysis of big data, the emergence of new sensors and robots, as well as the rapid emergence of smartphone apps and specialist social networks.

Let’s look at the current solutions used, their advantages, and the questions they raise. Precision farming and high-technology tool usage is quickly growing in Europe. These tools range from the traditional GPS (each offering specific levels of accuracy), to weighing equipment, sensors, drones and even robots. Machine manufacturers report that approximately 80% of new farm equipment sold in Europe has some form of precision technology component. Moreover, in the UK and French current agriculture fleets, more than half of the fertilizer spreaders are equipped with a precision weighing instrument. In Europe overall, this share is close to 40%. Precision farming is currently viewed as the number-one trend in the agricultural sector influencing farming businesses.

These precision tools allow for higher comfort and better user autonomy, but also have a better environmental footprint due to input savings and efficiency (better precision in fertilizer and/or crop-protection products). Even the economics of these solutions are recognized by farmers in Europe. DuckerFrontier’s past studies show that, although few farmers measure the benefits of precision-farming-tool usage, they estimate a 5% savings in input purchases, and 10% fewer hours required for the same volume of work.

Another new term linked to the digitalization of the farming sector is “Big Data.” Indeed, most of these precision farming tools (sensors, robots, drones, etc.) provide a wealth of information to users. For example, in France the BSV (Bulletin de Santé du Végétal) provides national information concerning the monitoring of plant disease, based on advanced algorithms. Machine manufacturers are also able to upgrade their equipment by analyzing the most frequent failures and improving manufacturing processes. The analysis of agricultural data is also a way for farmers to look at benchmarks, share best practices and ultimately enhance their own processes. In the U.S., the Farmers Business Network is a group of farmers who – based on an annual contribution and the download of their own business data – can compare their own harvest information with the entire group data.

Despite the breadth of benefits that digitalization brings to the agricultural sector, some questions arise. First, these solutions are relatively expensive, but it’s difficult to quantify the actual savings they provide. However, advancements should rapidly drive hardware and software prices lower as their usage increases. Secondly, the compatibility of these technological solutions raises questions, but those should be alleviated by the Agricultural Industry Electronics Foundation (AEF), which is developing the ISOBUS norm. Lastly, critical issues surround how data is gathered, the complexity of data analysis, user education, and the confidentiality and ownership of information.

The entire agricultural industry is trying to answer these questions, to accelerate the growth of digitalization and improve business. Communication has never been more intense on an agricultural subject, so let’s keep talking!

Using exclusive research and an expansive network of industry professionals, DuckerFrontier offers market intelligence and consulting services that help you navigate the industry and the forces that impact it. To connect with a DuckerFrontier team member, and learn about our expertise in the agricultural segment, contact us.

Sema – new technology opens up $1.5 billion market for aftermarket industry

SEMA – NEW TECHNOLOGY OPENS UP $1.5 BILLION MARKET FOR AFTERMARKET INDUSTRY

SEMA eNews Vol. 20, No. 40, October 5, 2017

By John Waraniak

The aftermarket industry for safety features known as Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) is currently valued at just under $1 billion, and is expected to grow to more than $1.5 billion by 2021, according to a SEMA-commissioned study conducted by DuckerFrontier and the Center for Automotive Research.

The new report, titled “SEMA Advanced Vehicle Technology Opportunities,” is filled with predictive analysis of business opportunities for the specialty aftermarket. Details, including information on the critical factors impacting the automotive and performance aftermarket industry and how SEMA manufacturing and installer members can participate, will be outlined in a press conference, Wednesday, November 1, 2017, during the SEMA Show in Las Vegas. SEMA executives will highlight what products, market categories and opportunities are expected for the aftermarket in ADAS.

ADAS is among the fastest-growing automotive segments today, and it presents a significant opportunity for aftermarket retrofitting and new vehicle upgrades,” said Chris Kersting, SEMA president and CEO. “We’re confident that the findings from the research report will be of interest to the industry and help members capture the opportunities ahead.”

Driven by growing consumer interest in safety performance products, such as lane-departure warnings, heads-up displays and parking-assistance systems, the fast-growing, high-margin market is opening up doors for new product innovations and business opportunities. All SEMA Show exhibitors and media are invited to the November 1 press conference, to be held in SEMA Central at the 2017 SEMA Show.

The report is scheduled to be available after the press conference at no cost to SEMA members.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE

Wardsauto webinar – the road ahead: aluminum vehicle content surge

WARDSAUTO WEBINAR – THE ROAD AHEAD: ALUMINUM VEHICLE CONTENT SURGE

WardAuto – Free Webinar

October 11, 2017 – 2PM ET/ 11AM PT

Over the next decade, automakers will adopt high-strength, low weight aluminum alloys in vehicle design at a faster pace than any time in history. What does this mean for automakers and consumers? How will potential changes to 2025 fuel economy regulations impact next generation cars and trucks? New research from DuckerFrontier detailing expected growth for aluminum vehicle content will answer these questions and more, including the reasons aluminum is chosen over competing materials for doors, hoods and trunk lids, body-in-white, bumpers and crash boxes.

In this webinar you will learn:

  • Growth projections for aluminum through 2028
  • Aluminum’s role on the multi-material vehicle
  • Benefits of designing vehicles with aluminum to consumers, automakers and the nation’s manufacturing base
  • Regulatory impact on the growth of automotive aluminum
  • Additional information from this survey of automakers conducted by DuckerFrontier

Speakers: 

Dough Richman – Technical Committee Chairman, Aluminum Association Aluminum Transportation Group and Vice President of Engineering, Kaiser Aluminum

Abey Abraham (Q&A Only) – Managing Director – Automotive Materials, DuckerFrontier

CLICK HERE TO REGISTER

Webinar recap: the auto industry of the future – connected, electrified and led from asia?

WEBINAR RECAP: THE AUTO INDUSTRY OF THE FUTURE – CONNECTED, ELECTRIFIED AND LED FROM ASIA?

Has the era of the electric car really arrived? Is the future autonomous? Does the next phase of the auto industry belong to Asia? And will everything be connected?

In this free 60-minute webinar, Markus Pfefferer of DuckerFrontier answers some of the key questions facing stakeholders of a global industry facing significant change.

Markus Pfefferer, Managing Director – Asia Pacific, DuckerFrontier

View the Webinar:

TO VIEW THE WEBINAR RECORDING CLICK HERE

Smart factories – major challenges for the future of european industry

SMART FACTORIES – MAJOR CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE OF EUROPEAN INDUSTRY

In 2014, the European Commission launched the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) for Factories of the Future (FoF), aimed at supporting and accelerating the transition toward digitalization, in the context of a general erosion of European industry.

To understand what the term “Factories of the Future” encompasses, one should forget the traditional vision of a loud and dirty plant, lacking efficiency and competitiveness. The Factory of the Future, or Smart Factory promise is all about connectivity, with the extensive usage of IoT (the Internet of Things) and machine-to-machine communication; an interconnection of systems; high-tech manufacturing processes like 3D printing; and smart equipment, like robotics.

The benefits of adopting the Factories of the Future vision are multiple:

  • A better production organization – for instance, ramping up production during off-peak times; automatically stopping production, if necessary; adapting production volumes to real-time demand. Overall, just being more agile.
  • More efficient collection of production data, allowing for better analysis of inputs and optimization of production flows.
  • An improved use of production resources, including raw materials and energy – offering the ability to adjust usage to actual production needs, and limit waste.

However, the transition toward Factories of the Future raises several questions, and poses some challenges for industry:

  • How does a company finance this technological transition? Which financing sources will be available, and how will the return on investment (ROI) be measured?
  • Which partners/experts can technically support this transition? Who do you trust?
  • How does a company encourage team training, foster attitudinal change, and attract – and retain – top talent?
  • How can data be gathered, safely stored, analyzed and then prepared for use?

Several major European companies have already started to implement these smart solutions. As part of their major digital transformation program called “Connect,” Air Liquide recently opened a business control center near Lyon aimed at controlling production, optimizing energy consumption and allowing for predictive maintenance. A few years ago, the German group, Siemens launched the modernization of its Amberg plant. They streamlined communication between products and machines, adopted the use of lightweight robots and 3D printing, increased productivity and decreased scrap rates.

Automotive world webinar: the auto industry of the future – connected, electrified and led from asia

AUTOMOTIVE WORLD WEBINAR: THE AUTO INDUSTRY OF THE FUTURE – CONNECTED, ELECTRIFIED AND LED FROM ASIA

September 28, 2017 @ 10:00 am (Detroit) | 4:00 pm (Stuttgart) | 7:30 pm (New Delhi)

If you can’t attend the session live please register anyway and we’ll send you a link to the slides and a video of the session when it’s finished.

Has the era of the electric car really arrived? Is the future autonomous? Does the next phase of the auto industry belong to Asia? And will everything be connected?

In this free 60-minute webinar, Markus Pfefferer of DuckerFrontier will address some of the key questions facing stakeholders of a global industry facing significant change.

Format: 1 x 30-minute presentation, followed by a 30-minute Q&A

Speaker: Markus Pfefferer, Managing Director – Asia Pacific, DuckerFrontier

The green roofing market continues to grow

THE GREEN ROOFING MARKET CONTINUES TO GROW

DuckerFrontier Europe recently spoke with Marc Lacaille, General Delegate of Adivet, the French Association for Green Roofs and Façades, and Mr. Lacaille shared some positive trends in green roof construction in Europe, with a focus on France. While they represented less than 100,000 m2 in 2002, green roofs now account for approximately 1,3 million m² in France. Despite the significant construction market downturn during this period, the adoption rate of green roofs has continued to increase. Lacaille expects the trend to continue, increasing by up to three to four million additional square meters per year, boosted by the construction rebound.

France is one of the green roof leaders in Europe, but still far from the number-one country – Germany – which creates 10 million m² of revegetation per year.

Historically, green roofing has been funded by public bodies or entities – for use on hospitals, schools and other public buildings – but private promoters and property companies are currently expressing much more interest in green roofs. In addition, French regulations are accelerating the adoption of green roofs: it is now mandatory to revegetate commercial structures of more than 1 000 m² surface. While there are voices who denounce the financial constraints of such regulations, roof revegetation also brings new opportunities to commercial buildings, especially shopping centers. Green roofs can also be a way to improve the customer experience – and ultimately revenue – like for Galeries Lafayette and Le Printemps in Paris.

Green roofing technologies are strongly connected to sealing and waterproofing technologies, which is why many manufacturers are primarily insulation experts, like Soprema (and its Sopranature solution), as well as Sika. Apart from waterproofing, the other key ingredient for sustainable roofs is root-penetration resistance. Inverted roofing is the typical construction method for green roofs, which means that the isolation materials, like XPS (extruded polystyrene) or PIR (polyisocyanurate) – as opposed to rockwool – is placed above the waterproofing membrane, which can be bituminous, PVC, EPDM or TPO.

Major advantages of green roofs are their durability, reinforced insulation, air-quality improvement, noise reduction and aesthetics. On the other end, some technical challenges remain: the revegetation of ancient buildings is complex due to often-inadequate structural elements; people-accessibility proves complicated, as roofing systems must bear people’s weight; and systems’ manufacturers are developing easy-to-install solutions to allow higher installation rate. Another challenge is cost: the current price range is quite broad, as basic green-roof systems start at 30-35€/m², but can rise to 300€/m2.

Examining goals, strategies and achievements in generating automotive weight savings

EXAMINING GOALS, STRATEGIES AND ACHIEVEMENTS IN GENERATING AUTOMOTIVE WEIGHT SAVINGS

Detroit, MI – The Society of Automotive Analysts (SAA) will examine the latest trends, strategies and direction in terms of lightweighting programs including raw materials, recyclability, manufacturing and body design at its Second Automotive Lightweighting Summit.  The event will take place Monday, September 25, 2017 at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Detroit Branch.

Achieving weight savings has become a top priority for vehicle manufacturers and parts and material suppliers in order to meet aggressive fuel economy goals. The Summit will feature industry executives representing vehicle manufacturers, parts suppliers and raw material mills.

Speakers include:

  • Abey Abraham, Managing Director, DuckerFrontier
  • Laura Anderson, President and CEO, Aluminum Blanking Company, Inc.
  • Gary Gallo, Senior Manager, Automotive/OEM Recycling, Novelis
  • Paul Herbach, Director of Automotive Technology, Olympic Steel
  • Shawn Morgans, Global Vehicle Architecture Mgr., Product Development Center, Ford Motor Company
  • Rob Peckham, Technical Integration Engineer (TIE), Mass Strategy & Tools, General Motors
  • Brad Tolley, Senior Vice President, Business Development & Technology, Shiloh Industries
  • Dr. Blake Zuidema, Director, Product Applications, ArcelorMittal

In addition to hearing from lightweighting experts, Ford (Expedition and F-150) and General Motors (Chevrolet Traverse, Equinox and Bolt ) will be showcasing new 2018 vehicles in front of the Federal Reserve.

For more information and to register, go to www.SAAauto.com.

Ipaf and duckerfrontier provide cutting-edge market intelligence

IPAF AND DUCKERFRONTIER PROVIDE CUTTING-EDGE MARKET INTELLIGENCE

For more than eight years, the International Powered Access Federation (IPAF) has partnered with DuckerFrontier to conduct a detailed analysis of the rental equipment market. This rather stable, yet growing industry presents several opportunities – as well as barriers – for key industry players. DuckerFrontier examines these market dynamics within both Europe and the U.S., and provides key facts and statistics that will enable good decision-making.

The 2017 rental market reports contain the most up-to-date information on the global Mobile Elevating Work Platform (MEWP) rental market. Covering 2008-2018, with a focus on 2016, they include:

  • 2016 MEWP rental market value and fleet size
  • Trends and dynamics over the period
  • Operational indicators (investment, age of fleet, application)
  • The fleet mix and evolution
  • Estimated size of the 2016 MEWP rental fleet worldwide, with a breakdown by region and by machine type
  • Ranking of construction and non-construction sub-sectors in the MEWP rental revenue
  • Return on investment/average payback period by equipment type
  • A special focus on the United Arab Emirates (UAE)

Included are powered access equipment, all booms, scissor lifts and vertical masts. Excluded are low-level equipment (<3m high), telescopic material handlers, forklifts, cranes, mast-climbing work platforms, hoists, and equipment owned by non-rental companies.

Through DuckerFrontier’s in-house research teams, numerous interviews were conducted in various languages from offices located in Paris, Berlin, the U.S. and Shanghai. Organizations interviewed included rental companies, national rental associations, manufacturers and various industry experts. Data gathered was compiled and analyzed by DuckerFrontier’s industry experts, utilizing fact-based insights, macro-economic figures and other industry information.

“These reports are an invaluable tool and an extremely useful resource for us when planning fleet investments and monitoring how we stack up against our competitors.” Peter Douglas, UK Operations Director, Nationwide Platforms

There are now 1 250 000 MEWPs in the worldwide rental fleet, with Asia showing very dynamic growth.

The U.S. Aerial Work Platform (AWP) rental market continues its ascension with a strong growth of 8% in 2016 to reach approximately $8.9 billion, in line with DuckerFrontier long-term estimates. Growth is primarily due to fleet expansion, coupled with slightly raised rental rates and utilization – both driven by growing demand.

Europe is showing steady growth with total market value up 4% in 2016. The region is marked by three groups of countries: some that stayed relatively flat (Norway and Denmark); some that experienced a slight increase in rental revenues (France, UK, Italy and Netherlands); and others that witnessed significant growth (Finland, Sweden, Germany and Spain).

ABOUT INTERNATIONAL POWERED ACCESS FEDERATION

The International Powered Access Federation (IPAF) promotes the safe and effective use of powered access equipment worldwide in the widest sense – through providing technical advice and information, through influencing and interpreting legislation and standards, and through its safety initiatives and training programs. It is a not-for-profit organization owned by its members, which include manufacturers, rental companies, contractors and users.

For more information on this research, or IPAF – who sponsored the project – please visit www.ipaf.org/reports. These reports are available to both members and non-members of IPAF, for purchase directly through IPAF.

Unprecedented growth expected for automotive aluminum as multi-material vehicles ascend, new survey of automakers says

UNPRECEDENTED GROWTH EXPECTED FOR AUTOMOTIVE ALUMINUM AS MULTI-MATERIAL VEHICLES ASCEND, NEW SURVEY OF AUTOMAKERS SAYS

DETROIT, July 31, 2017 – Over the next decade, automakers will continue to increase the adoption of high-strength, low weight aluminum in new car and truck construction at a faster pace than any time in history. Total aluminum content is expected to grow from 397 pounds per vehicle (PPV) in 2015 to 565 PPV by 2028, representing 16 percent of total vehicle weight, according to a survey of automakers conducted by DuckerFrontier reaffirming continued market share growth for aluminum into high-volume vehicles. This is consistent with the emerging trend of automakers transitioning to a multi-material vehicle (MMV) design approach, choosing aluminum for doors, hoods and trunk lids, body-in-white, bumpers and crash boxes.

“Aluminum remains the fastest growing automotive material over competing materials and is entering its most unprecedented growth phase since we’ve been tracking the shifting mix of automotive materials,” said Abey Abraham of DuckerFrontier. “To further improve fuel economy, battery range, safety and overall driving performance, automakers no longer default to a single material and instead are pursuing a multi-material design approach where the best material is chosen for the best application. This design evolution is what’s driving aluminum’s increased market penetration in the auto sector.”

“As our automotive customers embrace a multi-material approach to new car and truck design, that directly translates to increased amounts of aluminum. On top of 40 years of uninterrupted growth, the aluminum industry is experiencing a level of sustained growth not seen before in any market or product sector. However, the true winners of this change are American consumers who can choose next-generation cars and trucks that are high performing, efficient, safe, sustainable and more fun to drive,” said Heidi Brock, president and CEO of the Aluminum Association. “A thriving aluminum sector is vital to automakers, the nation’s manufacturing base and a healthy U.S. economy. The aluminum industry invested or committed more than $2 billion to ensure increased capacity in the U.S. since 2013, and the industry is prepared to continue such investments in domestic manufacturing jobs as demand continues to grow.”

2020 Projections

The study finds that total aluminum content for North American lightweight vehicles will increase to nearly 9 billion pounds, averaging 466 PPV by 2020, an increase of 69 pounds from 2015. Aluminum parts will more than double with aluminum hoods expected to reach 71 percent penetration (up from 50% today). Fifty percent of total aluminum content growth from 2015 to 2020 will be driven by closures, crash management systems, steering knuckles and structural vacuum die cast parts. Aluminum vacuum die castings are expected to grow from less than three PPV today to 14 PPV by 2020. The average passenger car will contain 362 pounds of aluminum and the average light truck will contain 523 pounds of aluminum by 2020.

2020 to 2028

DuckerFrontier projects total aluminum content growing to 565 PPV (16% of curb mass) by 2028 with nearly 25 percent of vehicles having partial aluminum body-in-white. More than two million of those vehicles will be pickup trucks and 400,000 will have plug-in hybrid or zero-emissions powertrains. Forecasts for the 2020 to 2028 time period are based on EPA and NHTSA technology implementation pathways suggesting mass reduction from zero percent for some passenger cars and small SUVs to 20 percent for large trucks and SUVs to achieve an overall industry average mass reduction of 7 percent (270 pounds) by 2025. Empirical evidence from DuckerFrontier’s research suggests achieving 7 percent curb mass reductions is likely to be delayed to 2028 due, in part, to new model launch timing constraints with several vehicles expected to launch post-2024 with significant aluminum body content. Under either scenario, a multi-material approach is the expected pathway with aluminum contributing to more than 50 percent of total mass reduction.

Brock added, “It is proven that vehicles made lighter with aluminum offer consumers better fuel economy, improved safety and enhanced performance. Furthermore, aluminum is the best choice for the environment when compared to both traditional and advanced steels, according to the U.S. Department of Energy’s Oakridge National Laboratory.”

Methodology

Since 1996, the Aluminum Association’s Aluminum Transportation Group (ATG) has commissioned global consulting and research firm DuckerFrontier to conduct its triannual survey of automakers. This year’s “Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 To 2028” study is based on a top down analysis relying primarily on detailed in-person interviews with automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their suppliers, as well as data obtained from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration and the Center for Automotive Research. With its top down analysis, DuckerFrontier determined mass reduction and material mix forecasts and examined the effect of fuel prices, vehicle mix, secondary weight savings, electrification, vehicle design and vehicle launch cadence on the amount of weight that is expected to be shed by vehicle type.

To view the study, visit www.drivealuminum.org where other facts and research can also be found.

About the Aluminum Association

Through its Aluminum Transportation Group, the Aluminum Association communicates the benefits of aluminum in ground transportation applications to help accelerate its penetration through research programs and related outreach activities. The ATG’s mission is to serve member companies and act as a central resource for the automotive and commercial vehicle industries on aluminum issues. Members of the ATG include: Alcoa Inc., Aleris, Aluminum Precision Products Inc., Arconic, Constellium, Hydro, Kaiser Aluminum, Novelis Inc., Rio Tinto Alcan, Sapa Group and Tri-Arrows Aluminum. . Visit us online at DriveAluminum.org.