Building & Construction · Report

Closing the Commercial Gap: How Upstream Chemical Producers Capture the Value Their Chemistry Creates

Construction is rebalancing toward segments where performance, risk reduction, and proof matter more than lowest unit price. This report shows why advanced chemistry creates value upstream that is captured downstream, and sets out four levers to close the gap without vertical integration.

FormatReport
SectorBuilding & Construction
RegionEurope

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Download the full report, including the three performance-priced pockets, the four system-influence levers, and the 90-day action plan.

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50%+
Renovation share of total European construction output, a modern-era first
-10 to -15%
New residential construction decline in Germany and Sweden, 2022 to 2024
6.68%
Construction-chemicals CAGR for infrastructure, 2026 to 2031, versus 4.33 percent overall
14,500MW
EMEA data center contracted capacity, versus 11,400 MW live, Q3 2025
The decisive moment is not when an ingredient is sold. It is when a system is specified, approved, and installed. That is why the Decision-to-Purchase Gap is the strategic issue for upstream chemical producers.
Market Shift

Two markets, two trajectories

High interest rates and rising material costs drove new residential construction down 10 to 15 percent in key markets like Germany and Sweden between 2022 and 2024.

Renovation held firm, growing one to two percent annually, and now accounts for more than half of total European construction output for the first time in modern history.

Growth by Segment, 2022 to 2024 (%)
New Residential (Germany)-15
New Residential (Sweden)-10
Renovation (Europe average)+2
Where Value Concentrates

Three performance-priced pockets

Not all construction segments pay equally for advanced chemistry. The strongest opportunities concentrate where customers pay for outcomes and reliability.

Pocket 01

Energy renovation

Incremental work under tight budgets, limited space, and constraints on disruption. It favors chemistry that performs without adding thickness and installs reliably on existing buildings: thin build-ups, reliable adhesion, fast installation, and durable moisture control.

Pocket 02

Critical and high-performance buildings

Mission-critical buildings, with data centers as the flagship, pay for reliability. Downtime is expensive and requirements are strict, creating premium demand for fire compartmentation, low smoke and emissions pathways, indoor air quality, and durability under 24/7 operation.

Pocket 03

Infrastructure and durability maintenance

Aging assets and public safety drive sustained demand for repair and service-life extension. These projects prioritize whole-life cost and validated durability: corrosion protection, waterproofing, repair chemistries, and long life proven over time.

Winning is not about chasing volume. It is about turning performance into preference in the segments where outcomes are priced.
From the report

Read the full analysis

The report details the four system-influence levers, the prioritization matrix, and the three moves to make in the next 90 days.

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Sell Outcomes, Not Molecules

What each decision-maker requires

Because the specifier is not the payer, the message must translate technical value into the language of each stakeholder. The report maps what each one responds to.

Owner / Asset Manager

Whole-life value

Responds to the total economics of the asset over its life, not the price of any single input.

Responds to

Whole-life cost and uptime, durability and energy outcomes, risk reduction.

Specifier / Engineer

System evidence

Needs proof at system level before a material is written into a specification.

Responds to

System performance evidence, test results, boundary conditions.

Contractor / Installer

Site reliability

Values performance that holds up in real installation conditions, with less risk on site.

Responds to

Fewer steps and faster install, predictable performance, lower rework.

Manufacturer / System House

Approval speed

Wins when a system is easy to certify, differentiate, and document.

Responds to

Certification speed, differentiation story, documentation readiness.

Work With Ducker Carlisle

Turn decarbonization into margin

Ducker Carlisle helps upstream producers build influence at the points where specification decisions are made. Start a conversation about your priority segments.

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Audrey Courant

Audrey Courant

Managing Principal, Building, Construction and Infrastructure

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Marco Fernandez

Marco Fernandez

Associate Principal, Building, Construction and Infrastructure

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